+1 Read more

Do you think the irrationality of your fans on the left and of your detractors on the right was purely a function of your model's prediction, or does it reveal a difference between how liberals and conservatives interpret this type of work? Read more

Distributive property 4 lyfe Read more

My life is complete Read more

Does Tim McCarver make a lot of sex jokes during commercials? Read more

Thanks for posting this. I agree completely. Hopefully you'll like my next post in this vein. Read more

332-206 Obama. If I had to guess an average EV, it'd be in the 310 range, but this scenario is Sam Wang's mode, and he is awesome.

Sport two sticks. Read more

You're right, and the left's reaction to Silver makes your point already. There are lots of great things to pin an appreciation of math and science on, like space exploration. They pick Silver because he tells them something they want to hear, even if Silver isn't doing that on purpose. Read more

My Dad came home from work one day to find me in the air hanging on with my hands in the VHS slot. Read more

Yeah, I was trying to answer the question, "who was most likely to kill the championship hopes of the team drafting them?" Usually the answer is a top guy who just did nothing. But you can make a case for the player who gets drafted first and puts up a below-average-starter season. Read more

I think that should be a separate award, as another commenter suggested. The expected number of points from a 125th pick and an undrafted pick isn't all that different. It's possible that a first overall pick could win the Beuerlein if he just trucked on everybody else. Read more

Thanks. Hopefully that's the only error on here, but I'll wait a bit to see if anyone catches anything else. Will clean up after. Read more

The Cardinals are stupid. Read more

I know next to nothing about economics, actually — my interest in anything applied-math related stems from sports, and mostly on-field stuff. I just graduated this past August, so no more formal opportunities for me, but these days, not being in school is hardly a barrier to taking classes. Read more

Sincere. I know what symmetric and asymmetric games are, and what combinatorial games are. I know what both the stag hunt and the ultimatum game are — the former is symmetric, and the decisions of both players are made independently, where the latter is asymmetric, and the second player must make his decision based on… Read more

Sounds good to me. Read more

I'm sorry you feel that way. Can you suggest a game-theoretical approach to the icing question that you think would have made the post worthwhile? Or, alternatively, how could I have addressed the flaws in the studies and interpretations that I mentioned in a more narrow way? Read more

Conditional brobability. Read more