With the NFL playoffs just a few weeks away, there are a lot of playoff probabilities going around. Functionally, these all do more or less the same thing. So instead of churning out our own—which, face it, we are probably not going to do better than what's already out in the world—we're mashing everyone's together. Here's how the internet thinks the playoffs will look.
The tables below are teams' chances of making the playoffs, winning their division, and winning the Super Bowl from averaging numbers across nine models (Advanced Football Analytics, Football Outsiders, FiveThirtyEight, Massey-Peabody, numberFire, Team Rankings, PlayoffStatus, Sports Club Stats, Prediction Machine). Only teams that haven't been eliminated from contention are included.
Team | Division | PO% | PORange | Div% | DivRange | SB% | SBRange |
Patriots | AFC East | 100 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 22.7 | 13.7 |
Bills | AFC East | 7.6 | 10.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
Dolphins | AFC East | 0.6 | 1.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 |
Team | Division | PO% | PORange | Div% | DivRange | SB% | SBRange |
Bengals | AFC North | 80.9 | 7 | 32.4 | 12.1 | 1.3 | 3 |
Steelers | AFC North | 80.8 | 12.4 | 44 | 11.4 | 1.8 | 2.4 |
Ravens | AFC North | 82 | 14.7 | 23.6 | 15.8 | 3.7 | 10 |
Browns | AFC North | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team | Division | PO% | PORange | Div% | DivRange | SB% | SBRange |
Colts | AFC South | 100 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 4.9 | 3.7 |
Texans | AFC South | 4 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 |
Team | Division | PO% | PORange | Div% | DivRange | SB% | SBRange |
Broncos | AFC West | 100 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 20.5 | 12.9 |
Chiefs | AFC West | 30.5 | 13.7 | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | 1.4 |
Chargers | AFC West | 14.3 | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
Team | Division | PO% | PORange | Div% | DivRange | SB% | SBRange |
Cowboys | NFC East | 79.2 | 20.1 | 67 | 13.6 | 3.3 | 4.9 |
Eagles | NFC East | 38.7 | 12 | 32.6 | 15.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
Team | Division | PO% | PORange | Div% | DivRange | SB% | SBRange |
Lions | NFC North | 91.2 | 8.1 | 38.6 | 20 | 4.7 | 6.1 |
Packers | NFC North | 94.9 | 8 | 61.4 | 20 | 12.5 | 9 |
Team | Division | PO% | PORange | Div% | DivRange | SB% | SBRange |
Saints | NFC South | 63.7 | 16.9 | 64.2 | 16.9 | 1.1 | 2.3 |
Panthers | NFC South | 14.6 | 20.4 | 13.8 | 20.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
Falcons | NFC South | 20.5 | 9.1 | 20.1 | 8.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
Team | Division | PO% | PORange | Div% | DivRange | SB% | SBRange |
Cardinals | NFC West | 99.8 | 1.4 | 41.7 | 24.9 | 6.3 | 17 |
Seahawks | NFC West | 96.1 | 4 | 58.3 | 24.9 | 15.1 | 15 |